Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 84.291532 94.261237 104.447149 115.601321 127.441827 139.607141 153.021939
2025-03-09 69.479111 83.869810 99.209254 116.652654 135.818966 156.126383 179.160316
2025-03-16 59.008918 75.634531 93.939708 115.336477 139.421038 165.474968 195.576653
2025-03-23 52.718273 71.171149 92.053209 117.016836 145.658413 177.141917 214.025311
2025-03-30 47.868492 67.770018 90.853462 118.994271 151.809151 188.362992 231.674336
2025-04-06 42.364388 63.046608 87.652643 118.242904 154.483963 195.372236 244.339856
2025-04-13 36.730477 57.665095 83.245004 115.687269 154.733759 199.339233 253.310723
2025-04-20 34.811698 56.814180 84.215074 119.451838 162.319515 211.700387 271.857810
2025-04-27 32.479148 55.213138 84.087984 121.745153 168.050178 221.830267 287.782605
2025-05-04 29.142469 51.999899 81.707052 121.075023 170.067751 227.488364 298.417953
2025-05-11 26.004801 48.810366 79.157538 120.022343 171.479677 232.320973 307.999862
2025-05-18 23.841451 46.830515 78.064740 120.707165 174.939976 239.535216 320.346719
2025-05-25 21.492071 44.431032 76.321703 120.512097 177.310641 245.484821 331.285152
2025-06-01 19.661667 42.667667 75.343164 121.236812 180.784854 252.747671 343.792267
2025-06-08 17.366889 39.982372 72.934102 119.949420 181.617072 256.718428 352.294812
2025-06-15 16.180173 38.968517 72.812626 121.659456 186.230828 265.301685 366.349427
2025-06-22 15.180728 38.178524 72.955277 123.685237 191.225813 274.345778 380.967297
2025-06-29 13.509856 36.097084 71.108651 122.915901 192.544935 278.797026 389.978430
2025-07-06 11.536462 33.274444 68.011836 120.299875 191.360105 280.056995 395.036600
2025-07-13 11.263061 33.530595 69.556494 124.153285 198.674748 291.967067 413.167489
2025-07-20 10.663723 33.118618 70.044175 126.500177 203.992821 301.372713 428.235801
2025-07-27 9.455382 31.408518 68.435966 125.814434 205.241846 305.619715 436.930445
2025-08-03 8.277821 29.617546 66.605611 124.737158 205.912887 309.096369 444.646168